ARIMA provides a solution to assess current and future multi-hazard risks and coordinate regional preventative and adaptive decision-making. 

Over a period of two and a half years (Jan 2019 – July 2021), the ARIMA project developed a spatial multi-hazard risk information platform for the benefit of the Marrakech-Safi regional stakeholders based on innovative risk assessment and simulation methods.

The platform provides spatial information on current and future – until 2050 – multi-hazard risks within the whole region. With ARIMA, regional stakeholders can integrate risk information and assessments into their risk management and adaptation strategies and increase their capacity to define preventive measures against the most critical hazards affecting the region (e.g., floods, droughts, and erosion).

So, decision-makers can better protect the region’s people, infrastructure, key economic sectors such as agriculture, and cultural heritage.

  • PlanetScope imagery, Marrakech July20 2018

  • PlanetScope imagery, Loudaya July20 2018

  • PlanetScope imagery, Marrakech July20 2018

  • PlanetScope imagery, Souira Kedima, July20 2018

  • Copernicus Sentinel2 imagery, Marrakech Aug20 2018

  • Copernicus Sentinel2 imagery, Marrakech Aug20 2018

  • RGBNIR (infrared imagery showing agriculture areas), Marrakech Nov20 2017

  • Copernicus Sentinel2 imagery, Marrakech Aug20 2018

  • RGBNIR (infra red imagery showing underlying terrain model) Marrakech Nov20 2017

Cutting edge science and technology for risk reduction in Marrakech-Safi

ARIMA developed and implemented innovative methods to assess current multi-hazard risk hotspots associated with floods, erosion and droughts. Climate projections, land use simulations and socio-economic scenarios have been used to simulate future risk scenarios until 2050 in the Marrakech-Safi Region.

ARIMA integrated all results into a spatial multi-hazard risk information system, co-designed and tested for the practical use of the beneficiaries.

Finally, ARIMA takes stock of existing disaster risk reduction (DRR) and adaptation strategies and propose complementary solutions.

  • Left to right: Mrs Sandra Mezzadri (IABG), Mrs. Felicitas Bellert (IABG), Mr. Bouniete El Hassan ( DREFLCD Haut Atlas Marrakech)

  • Left to right: Mrs. Sandra Mezzadri (IABG), Mr. Rainer Malmberg (IABG), Mrs. Mounia Benrhanem (ABHT)

  • Mr. Mohamed Aboufirass (RESING), Mrs. Touria Ikbal (Région Marrakech-Safi), Mrs. Mounia Benrhanem (ABHT)

  • Mr. SalahEddin Moufhim (Protection Civile), Mr. Tarik Khalla (Caddi Ayyad)

  • Mr. Rainer Malmberg (IABG), Mrs. Sandra Mezzadri (IABG), Mrs. Mounia Benrhanem (ABHT)

Monastir, Tunisia, Pilot Project

In 2017-2018, a consortium consisting of the United Nations University Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS), the private firm IABG (project coordinator), and the Municipality of Monastir implemented a pilot project on urban disaster resilience for the city of Monastir, Tunisia. The system integrated high-resolution satellite imagery, socioeconomic data, and expert interviews to create a multi-hazard risk assessment and develop techniques for analyzing urban growth and disaster risk trends. This methodology was implemented in accordance with the UN-Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015-2030), applicable to urban environments in North African countries.

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ARIMA aims at strengthening existing capacities of regional experts to conduct risk assessments in the future, and to systematically integrate risk information into their day-to-day planning and decision making.

ARIMA will strengthen existing capacities of regional stakeholders such as the Agence du Bassin Hydraulique de Tensift (ABHT), La Direction Régionale des Eaux et Forêts et de la Lutte Contre la Désertification, Haut Atlas Marrakech (DREFLCD), the Civil Protection office, l’Office Régional de Mise en Valeur Agricole du Haouz (ORMVAH) and la Région de Marrakech-Safi. Caddi Ayyad University of Marrakech and the Moroccan environmental consulting firm RESING will help coordinate local capacity building actions.